Date: Monday, 09/Sept/2024 | |||
9:00am - 12:30pm |
Short course 1: Spatio-temporal analysis of epidemic data using the R surveillance package Location: OG-Aud1 |
Short course 2: Spatial modeling with Stan Location: OG-Aud2 |
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12:30pm - 1:30pm |
Lunch and registration (lunch available for participants of workshop) |
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1:30pm - 1:40pm |
Welcome: Welcome to GEOMED 2024 Location: OG-Aud1 |
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1:40pm - 2:40pm |
Plenary 1: Mapping ‘last-mile’ populations Location: OG-Aud1 Chair: Thomas Neyens Speaker: Andrew Tatem, University of Southampton |
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2:45pm - 4:00pm |
Contributed 01: Environmental exposures Location: OG-Aud2 Chair: Paula Moraga Geostatistical analysis of geomasked PFAS food contamination data in Veneto Region (Italy) Giorgia Stoppa1, Dolores Catelan1, Michela Zamboni2, Giuliano Fin2, Naike Scatton2, Laura Facciolo2, Annibale Biggeri1, Emanuele Giorgi3 1: Unit of Biostatistics, Epidemiology and Public Health, Department of Cardiac, Thoracic, Vascular Sciences and Public Health, University of Padua, Padua, Italy; 2: No Pfas Moms committee, Vicenza, Padua, Verona, Italy; 3: Lancaster Medical School, Lancaster University, Lancaster, United Kingdom 3:10pm - 3:35pm Long-term effects of air pollution on adolescents' mental health: A two-stage Bayesian approach including exposure uncertainty Abi Riley1, Marta Blangiardo1, James Kirkbride2, Fred Piel1, Monica Pirani1 1: Imperial College London, United Kingdom; 2: University College London, United Kingdom 3:35pm - 4:00pm A distributed-lag non-linear model for predictors with interacting effects Sara Rutten1, Thomas Neyens1,2, Elisa Duarte1, Christel Faes1 1: I-BioStat, Data Science Institute, Hasselt University, Hasselt, Belgium; 2: L-BioStat, Department of Public Health and Primary Care, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium |
Contributed 02: Data science tools for spatial modeling Location: FR-1.01 Chair: Pieter Libin Measuring geographic access to emergency obstetric care: a comparison of travel time estimates modelled using Google Maps Directions API and AccessMod in three Nigerian conurbations Peter M Macharia1,2, Kerry LM Wong3, Lenka Beňová1,3, Jia Wang4, Prestige Tatenda Makanga5,6, Nicolas Ray7,8, Aduragbemi Banke-Thomas3,9,10 1: Institute of Tropical Medicine, Antwerp, Belgium; 2: Population & Health Impact Surveillance Group, Kenya Medical Research Institute-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Nairobi, Kenya; 3: Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom; 4: School of Computing & Mathematical Sciences, University of Greenwich, London, UK; 5: Surveying and Geomatics Department, Midlands State University Faculty of Science and Technology, Gweru, Midlands, Zimbabwe; 6: Climate and Health Division, Centre for Sexual Health and HIV/AIDS Research, Harare, Zimbabwe; 7: GeoHealth Group, Institute of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine, University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland; 8: Institute for Environmental Sciences, University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland; 9: School of Human Sciences, University of Greenwich, London, United Kingdom; 10: Maternal and Reproductive Health Research Collective, Lagos, Nigeria 3:10pm - 3:35pm Spatial distribution of poultry farms using point pattern modelling: a method to address livestock environmental impacts and disease transmission risks Marie-Cécile Dupas1,2, Francesco Pinotti3, Chaitanya Joshi4, Madhvi Joshi4, Damer Blake5, Fiona Tomley5, Marius Gilbert1, Guillaume Fournié5,6 1: Université Libre de Bruxelles, Belgium; 2: Hasselt University, Belgium; 3: University of Oxford, UK; 4: Gujarat Biotechnology Research Centre, India; 5: Royal Veterinary College, UK; 6: INRAE, France 3:35pm - 4:00pm Analyzing urban landscapes through satellite data to predict abundance of Aedes mosquito breeding sites Claire Teillet1, Rodolphe Devillers1, Annelise Tran2, Thibault Catry1, Renaud Marti3, Nadine Dessay1, Joseph Rwagitinywa4, Johana Restrepo4, Emmanuel Roux1 1: ESPACE-DEV, Univ Montpellier, IRD, Univ Guyane, Univ Reunion, Univ Antilles, Univ Avignon Maison de la Télédétection, 500 rue Jean‑François Breton, F‑34093 Montpellier, Cedex, France; 2: CIRAD, UMR TETIS, F-34398 Montpellier TETIS, Univ Montpellier, AgroParisTech, CIRAD, CNRS, INRAE, Montpellier Maison de la Télédétection, 500 rue Jean‑François Breton, F‑34093 Montpellier, Cedex, France; 3: TETIS, Univ Montpellier, AgroParisTech, CIRAD, CNRS, INRAE, Montpellier INRAE, UMR TETIS, Montpellier Maison de la Télédétection, 500 rue Jean‑François Breton, F‑34093 Montpellier, Cedex, France; 4: Collectivité Territoriale de Guyane (CTG), Direction de la Démoustication 4179 Rte de Montabo, Cayenne 97300, Guyane française |
Invited 1: Challenges to harmonize data along time Location: OG-Aud1 Chair: Kirby Russell Organized by: Maria de Fatima de Pina
Local distribution of cattle over Guadeloupe archipelago: an adapted method for disaggregating census data Victor Dufleit1, Laure Guerrini2,3, Eric Etter1,2 1: UMR ASTRE, CRVC, CIRAD, Guadeloupe (France); 2: ASTRE, Univ Montpellier, CIRAD, INRAE, Montpellier, France; 3: CIRAD, UMR ASTRE, Montpellier, France 3:10pm - 3:35pm Promoting healthy urban environments: the importance of integrate data and methods in the urban planning system Eduarda Marques da Costa Instituto de Geografia e Ordenamento do Território, Portugal 3:35pm - 4:00pm Addressing methodological challenges of boundary changes in longitudinal spatial epidemiology Maria de Fatima de Pina1,2 1: i3S / universidade do Porto, Portugal; 2: Oswaldo Cruz Foundation, Brazil |
4:00pm - 4:30pm |
Coffee break |
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4:30pm - 6:10pm |
Contributed 03: COVID-19 Epidemiology and Response Location: OG-Aud2 Chair: Geir-Arne Fuglstad Capturing the spatiotemporal spread of COVID-19 in 30 EU/EEA countries during 2020 – 2022 Thi Huyen Trang Nguyen1, Niel Hens1,2, Christel Faes1 1: Data Science Institute, Hasselt University, Belgium; 2: Centre for Health Economic Research and Modelling Infectious Diseases, Vaccine and Infectious Disease Institute, University of Antwerp, Belgium 4:55pm - 5:20pm Spatio-temporal dynamic of the COVID-19 epidemic and the impact of imported cases in Rwanda Muhammed Semakula1,4, François Niragire.2, Sabin Nsanzimana1, Eric Remera3, Christel Faes4 1: Rwanda Ministry of Health, Rwanda; 2: Department of Applied Statistics, University of Rwanda, Kigali; 3: Rwanda Biomedical Centre; 4: University of Hasselt 5:20pm - 5:45pm Social inequalities and the COVID-19 epidemic in France: territorial analyses by epidemic waves and metropolitan areas Luka Canton1, Pierre Schalkwijk1, Jordi Landier1, Stanislas Rebaudet1,3, Emilie Mosnier1,4, Pascal Handschumacher1, Michelle Kelly Irving5, Cyrille Delpierre5, Stephanie Vandentorren6,7, Jean Gaudart1,2 1: Aix Marseille Univ, IRD, INSERM, SESSTIM, ISSPAM, Marseille, France; 2: AP-HM, Hop. La Timone, BioSTIC, Biostatistics & ICT, Marseille, France; 3: Hopital Europeen, Marseille, France; 4: French Agency for Research on AIDS, Viral Hepatitis and Emerging Infectious Diseases (ANRS-MIE), Phnom Penh, Cambodia; 5: CERPOP-UMR1295, EQUITY research team, Inserm, Université Toulouse III Paul Sabatier, Toulouse, France.; 6: Sante publique France, Saint Maurice France; 7: University of Bordeaux, ISPED, Centre INSERM U1219, Bordeaux Population Health, Bordeaux, France 5:45pm - 6:10pm Multiscale Spatio-temporal Modeling of Covid-19 case incidence and mortality Andrew Booth Lawson1, Brian Neelon1, Gerard Chowell2, Sijian Fan3 1: Medical University of South Carolina, United States of America; 2: Georgia State University, United States of America; 3: University of South Carolina, United States of America |
Contributed 04: Health inequalities and care Location: FR-1.01 Chair: Christel Faes Spatial variation in inequality distribution of all-cause and cause-specific premature mortality in Belgium since 2000 Martina Otavova1, Bruno Masquelier1, Christel Faes2, Brecht Devleesschauwer3, Benjamin-Samuel Schluter4 1: Louvain University; 2: Hasselt University; 3: Sciensano; 4: University of Toronto 4:55pm - 5:20pm Socio-economic inequalities and access to healthcare during the COVID-19 pandemic: analyses in rural areas in southern France Pierre Schalkwijk1, Luka Canton1, Jordi Landier1, Stanislas Rebaudet1,3, Emilie Mosnier1,4, Pascal Handschumacher1, Cyrille Delpierre5, Stephanie Vandentorren6,7, Jean Gaudart1,2 1: Aix Marseille Univ, IRD, INSERM, SESSTIM, ISSPAM, Marseille, France; 2: AP-HM, Hop. La Timone, BioSTIC, Biostatistics & ICT, Marseille, France; 3: Hopital Europeen, Marseille, France;; 4: French Agency for Research on AIDS, Viral Hepatitis and Emerging Infectious Diseases (ANRS-MIE), Phnom Penh, Cambodia; 5: CERPOP-UMR1295, EQUITY research team, Inserm, Université Toulouse III Paul Sabatier, Toulouse, France; 6: Sante publique France, Saint Maurice France; 7: University of Bordeaux, ISPED, Centre INSERM U1219, Bordeaux Population Health, Bordeaux, France 5:20pm - 5:45pm Model-based disease mapping using primary care registry data Arne Janssens1, Bert Vaes1, Gijs Van Pottelbergh1, Pieter Libin1,2,3, Thomas Neyens1,3 1: KU Leuven, Belgium; 2: Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Belgium; 3: UHasselt, Belgium |
Invited 2: Disease mapping: methods, data analyses and practical tools Location: OG-Aud1 Chair: Lola Ugarte Organized by: Lola Ugarte
On Bayesian disease mapping and pandemic management Ying MacNab University of British Columbia, Canada 4:55pm - 5:20pm Demystifying spatial confounding Emiko Dupont1, Isa Marques2, Thomas Kneib3 1: University of Bath, United Kingdom; 2: University of Glasgow, United Kingdom; 3: University of Gottingen, Germany 5:20pm - 5:45pm Scalable Bayesian disease mapping models with bigDM: a divide-and-conquer approach for analyzing high-dimensional data Aritz Adin, Erick Orozco-Acosta, María Dolores Ugarte Public University of Navarre, Spain 5:45pm - 6:10pm Joint outcome modelling of spatial COVID-19 incidence data for the senior population of Ontario, Canada, using a shared component model Charmaine Dean University of Waterloo, Canada |
6:30pm - 8:30pm |
Reception and posters (with Belgian beers and fries) |
Date: Tuesday, 10/Sept/2024 | |||
9:00am - 10:00am |
Plenary 2: A Bayesian hierarchical framework to evaluate policy effects through quasi-experimental designs in a longitudinal setting Location: OG-Aud1 Chair: Paula Moraga Speaker: Marta Blangiardo |
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10:00am - 10:30am |
Coffee break |
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10:30am - 12:10pm |
Contributed 05: Wastewater based surveillance Location: OG-Aud2 Chair: Marta Blangiardo Utilisation of wastewater-based epidemiology in the post-pandemic era: a data integration approach Guangquan Li1,4, Peter Diggle2,4, Marta Blangiardo3,4 1: Northumbria University; 2: Lancaster University; 3: Imperial College London; 4: Turing-RSS Health Data Lab 10:55am - 11:20am Estimating sub-national surveillance sensitivity for wild poliovirus in Nigeria to inform declaration of elimination Emily Nightingale London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom 11:20am - 11:45am Spatial-temporal Modelling Using Wastewater for Norovirus Surveillance Ella Rose White, Marta Blangiardo, Monica Pirani Imperial College London, United Kingdom 11:45am - 12:10pm Spatial modelling of viral loads in wastewater: an evaluation of sampling strategies for comprehensive surveillence programs James D Munday1, Julien Riou2, Moritz Wagner3, Nico Beerenwinkel1, Christoph Ort5, Tim Julien4, Tanja Stadler1 1: Department of Biosytems Science and Engineering, ETH Zürich, Switzerland; 2: Center for Primary Care and Public Health (Unisanté), University of Lausanne, Switzerlan; 3: Federal Office of Public Health, Switzerland; 4: Department Environmental Microbiology, Swiss Federal Institute of Aquatic Science and Technology (EAWAG), Switzerland; 5: Department Urban Water Management, Swiss Federal Institute of Aquatic Science and Technology (EAWAG), Switzerland |
Contributed 06: Advancements in disease mapping Location: FR-1.01 Chair: Lola Ugarte Assessing the impact of neighborhood structures in Bayesian disease mapping Minh Hanh Nguyen1, Thomas Neyens1,2, Andrew B. Lawson3,4, Christel Faes1,2 1: Data Science Institute, I-BioStat, Hasselt University, Hasselt, Belgium; 2: I-BioStat, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Leuven, Belgium; 3: Department of Public Health Sciences, Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston, USA; 4: Usher Institute, Population Health Sciences, School of Medicine, University of Edinburgh, UK 10:55am - 11:20am Disease mapping: What if Tobler's First Law of Geography doesn't hold? Robin Muegge1, Andrew Zammit-Mangion2, Eilidh Jack1, Nema Dean1, Duncan Lee1 1: School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Glasgow, United Kingdom; 2: National Institute for Applied Statistics Research Australia, University of Wollongong, Wollongong, NSW, Australia 11:20am - 11:45am Optimizing the use of exceedance probabilities in disease mapping: a simulation study Cristina Cametti1, Thomas Neyens1,2, Christel Faes2 1: KU Leuven, Belgium; 2: UHasselt, Belgium 11:45am - 12:10pm Analysing time trends for cognitive impairment across the U.S.A states. Sara Martino1, Riebler Andrea1, Anna Zajacova2 1: Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Norway; 2: University of Western Ontario, Canada. |
Invited 3: Environmental modelling for health impact assessment Location: OG-Aud1 Chair: Duncan Lee Organized by: Duncan Lee
A comparison of statistical and machine learning models for spatio-temporal prediction of ambient air pollutant concentrations in Scotland Qiangqiang Zhu, Duncan Lee, Oliver Stoner University of Glasgow, United Kingdom 10:55am - 11:20am Source apportionment of PM2.5 species data collected over space and time Veronica Berrocal1, Michela Frigeri2, Alessandra Guglielmi2 1: University of California, Irvine, United States of America; 2: Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy 11:20am - 11:45am Estimation of a Proportional Hazards Model with Spatially-Dependent Errors through Presmoothing Lorenzo Tedesco University of Bergamo, Italy 11:45am - 12:10pm Flexible scan statistic with restricted likelihood ratio for optimized COVID-19 surveillance Ernest Akyereko1, Alfred Stein1, Frank Badu Osei1, Kofi M. Nyarko2 1: University of Twente; 2: University of Environment and Sustainable Development |
12:10pm - 1:40pm |
Lunch and posters |
Scientific Committee Meeting |
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1:40pm - 3:20pm |
Contributed 07: Vector-borne diseases and spatial data integration Location: OG-Aud2 Chair: Sebastian Meyer A novel approach to mapping Japanese encephalitis virus in Asia with convolutional neural networks Alan Costello1, Sean M Moore1,2 1: University of Notre Dame, USA; 2: Eck Institute for Global Health, USA 2:05pm - 2:30pm Use of syndromic surveillance data in the design of climate-driven early warning systems for dengue epidemics: feasibility study in Cambodia Léa Douchet1,2, Florian Girond3, Morgan Mangeas2, Kosal Sreang3, Heng Seng3, Sovann Ly3, Vincent Herbreteau1,4 1: ESPACE-DEV, IRD, Univ Montpellier, Univ. Antilles, Univ Guyane, Univ Réunion, Phnom Penh, Cambodia; 2: ENTROPIE, IRD, Univ Reunion, CNRS, IFREMER, Univ Nouvelle Calédonie, Nouméa, New Caledonia; 3: Communicable Disease Control Department, Ministry of Health, Phnom Penh, Cambodia; 4: Institute of Technology of Cambodia, Phnom Penh, Cambodia 2:30pm - 2:55pm Spatiotemporally Explicit Epidemic Model for West Nile Virus Outbreak in Germany Oliver Mbaoma, Stephanie Thomas, Carl Beierkuhnlein University of Bayreuth, Germany, Germany 2:55pm - 3:20pm Enhancing Epidemic Intelligence with the MOOD Platform: Integration and Application in Public Health Surveillance Sarah Houben1, Tom Matheussen1, Elena Arsevska2, Timothée Dub3, Markus Neteler4, Annapaola Rizzoli5, Mathieu Roche2, Maguelonne Teisseire6, Wim Van Bortel7, Maria Fernanda Vincenti-Gonzalez8, William Wint9 1: Avia-GIS, Belgium; 2: CIRAD, Montpellier, France; 3: THL, Helsinki, Finland; 4: Mundialis, Bonn, Germany; 5: Research and Innovation Centre, Edmund Mach Foundation, Trento, Italy; 6: INRAE, Montpellier, France; 7: ITG, Antwerpen, Belgium; 8: SpELL, ULB, Brussels, Belgium; 9: ERGO, Oxford, UK |
Contributed 08: Disease mapping and clustering Location: FR-1.01 Chair: Andrew Booth Lawson Geospatial patterns of excess mortality in Belgium: Insights from the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic Yessika Adelwin Natalia1, Geert Molenberghs1,2, Christel Faes1, Thomas Neyens1,2 1: I-BioStat, Data Science Institute, Hasselt University, Belgium; 2: I-BioStat, Leuven Biostatistics and Statistical Bioinformatics Centre, KU Leuven, Belgium 2:05pm - 2:30pm Spatial distribution and determinants of tuberculosis incidence in Mozambique: A nationwide Bayesian disease mapping study Nelson Cuboia1,2,3, Joana Reis-Pardal1,2, Isabel Pfumo-Cuboia3, Ivan Manhiça4, Cláudia Mutaquiha4, Luis Nitrogénio5, Pereira Zindonga4, Luís Azevedo1,2 1: Department of Community Medicine, Information and Health Decision Sciences (MEDCIDS), Faculty of Medicine, University of Porto, Porto, Portugal; 2: CINTESIS@RISE – Center for Health Technology and Services Research (CINTESIS) & Health Research Network Associated Laboratory (RISE), University of Porto, Porto, Portugal; 3: Hospital Rural de Chicumbane, Limpopo, Mozambique; 4: Ministry of Health, National Tuberculosis Program, Maputo, Mozambique; 5: Gaza Provincial Health Directorate, Tuberculosis Program, Xai–Xai, Mozambique 2:30pm - 2:55pm Detecting Co-Occurring Clusters of Coronary Heart Disease and Depression in New England: A Neighborhood-Level Analysis Theresa N. Faller1,3, Michael R. Desjardins2,3 1: Department of Mental Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA, 21205; 2: Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA, 21205; 3: Spatial Science for Public Health Center, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA, 21205 2:55pm - 3:20pm Geospatial clustering of auto-antibodies against apolipoprotein A-1, heavy metals and cardiovascular diseases in the city of Lausanne, Switzerland Noé Fellay1, Stéphane Joost1, Nicolas Vuilleumier2 1: EPFL, Switzerland; 2: HUG, Switzerland |
Invited 4: Geospatial methods for global public health Location: OG-Aud1 Chair: Peter Diggle Organized by: Emanuele Giorgi
Design and analysis of randomised trials to estimate spatiotemporally heterogeneous treatment effects Samuel I Watson1, Thomas A Smith2 1: University of Birmingham, United Kingdom; 2: Swiss Tropical Research Institute, Basel, Switzerland 2:05pm - 2:30pm Small Area Estimation in Low- and Middle-Income Countries Jon Wakefield University of Washington 2:30pm - 2:55pm Leveraging spatial accessibility and catchment areas models to improve disease mapping Peter M Macharia1,2,3, Nicolas Ray4,5, Caroline W. Gitonga2, Robert W. Snow2,6, Emanuele Giorgi3 1: Institute of Tropical Medicine Antwerp, Belgium; 2: Population & Health Impact Surveillance Group, KEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Nairobi, Kenya; 3: Centre for Health Informatics, Computing, and Statistics, Lancaster Medical School, Lancaster University, Lancaster, UK; 4: GeoHealth group, Institute of Global Health, University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland; 5: Institute for Environmental Sciences, University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland; 6: Centre for Tropical Medicine and Global Health, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK 2:55pm - 3:20pm Disentangling the effects of fine-scale mobility on leptospirosis infection using telemetry data Pablo Ruiz Cuenza1, Fabio Neves2, Federico Costa2, Max Eyre3, Jonathan Read1, Emanuele Giorgi1 1: Lancaster University, United Kingdom; 2: Instituto de Saúde Coletiva, Universidade Federal da Bahia, Salvador, Brazil; 3: London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom |
3:20pm - 3:50pm |
Coffee break |
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3:50pm - 5:30pm |
Contributed 09: Mathematical modeling of infectious diseases Location: OG-Aud2 Chair: Rob Deardon Spatial modeling in support of measles control and elimination Katherine Rosenfeld Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, United States of America 4:15pm - 4:40pm A Declarative Approach to Metapopulation Modelling Sebastiaan Weytjens1,2, Niel Hens1, Ann Nowé2, Pieter Libin2 1: Hasselt University, Belgium; 2: Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Belgium 4:40pm - 5:05pm Uncertainty quantification in the predictions of a Ebola outbreak using Bayesian data assimilation Tobias Wondwossen1, Ashok Krishnamurthy1, Michael Myer1, Thomas White2 1: Mount Royal University, Canada; 2: University of Exeter, UK 5:05pm - 5:30pm Forecasting the spatial spread of an Ebola epidemic in real-time: comparing predictions of mathematical models and experts James D Munday1,2,3, Alicia Rosello2,3, W. John Edmunds2,3, Sebastian Funk2,3 1: Department of Biosytems Science and Engineering, ETH Zürich, Switzerland; 2: Center for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, UK; 3: Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, UK |
Contributed 10: Spatial epidemiology in low and middle income countries Location: FR-1.01 Chair: Andrew Tatem Plasma selenium concentrations are associated with spatial variation in maize selenium concentrations in Malawi; implications for assessing dietary selenium adequacy Lucia Segovia de la Revilla1, Claire Dooley2, Elaine L. Ferguson1, Edward J.M. Joy1,3 1: LSHTM, United Kingdom; 2: The Bartlett Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College London, UK; 3: Rothamsted Research, United Kingdom 4:15pm - 4:40pm Disparities in timely antenatal care initiation in Kenya: A geostatistical modelling approach using Demographic and Health Survey data. Faith F. Chimbandi1, Guido Van Hal2, Aline Semaan3, Lenka Benova3,4, Peter M. Macharia3,5 1: Global Health Institute, Family Medicine and Population Health Department, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium; 2: Social Epidemiology and Health Policy, Family Medicine and Population Health Department, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium; 3: Department of Public Health, Institute of Tropical Medicine, Antwerp, Belgium; 4: Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK; 5: Population & Health Impact Surveillance Group, Kenya Medical Research Institute-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Nairobi, Kenya 4:40pm - 5:05pm Estimating Subnational Under-Five Mortality Rates Using a Spatio-Temporal Age-Period-Cohort Model Connor Gascoigne1, Theresa Smith2, John Paige3, Jon Wakefield4 1: Imperial College London, United Kingdom; 2: University of Bath, United Kingdom; 3: Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Norway; 4: University of Washington, Seattle 5:05pm - 5:30pm CANCELLED Identifying High-Risk areas for Untimely Administration of the Hepatitis B Birth Dose (HepB-BD) in low-income settings. Jacob Mugoya Gizamba University of southern California, United States of America |
Invited 5: Challenges and advances in areal data statistical modeling Location: OG-Aud1 Chair: Veronica Berrocal Organized by: Veronica Berrocal
Model validation for small area estimation models using complex survey data Zehang Richard Li University of California, Santa Cruz, United States of America 4:15pm - 4:40pm Computationally efficient inference in disease mapping using anisotropic basis functions Duncan Lee University of Glasgow, United Kingdom 4:40pm - 5:05pm Trivariate shared Bayesian models to estimate ovarian cancer deaths attributable to asbestos exposure in Lombardy (Italy) in 2000-2018 Dolores Catelan1, Giorgia Stoppa1, Carolina Mensi2, Lucia Fazzo3, Giada Minelli4, Valerio Manno4, Alessandro Marinaccio5, Dario Consonni2, Annibale Biggeri1 1: Unit of Biostatistics, Epidemiology and Public Health, DCTVPH, University of Padova,Padova, Italy; 2: Occupational Health Unit, Fondazione IRCCS Ca’ Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico, Milan, Italy; 3: Department of Environment and Health, Italian National Institute of Health,Rome, Italy; 4: Statistical Service, Italian National Institute of Health, Rome, Italy; 5: Occupational and Environmental Medicine, Epidemiology and Hygiene Department, Italian Workers' Compensation Authority (INAIL), Rome, Italy 5:05pm - 5:30pm CANCELLED Assessing the Impact of the Modifiable Areal Unit Problem Renato Assuncao1,2, Vinícius Riffel2, Lauren Bennett1, Lynne Buie1, Martha Bass1, Kevin Butler1 1: ESRI Inc., United States of America; 2: UFMG, Brazil |
7:00pm - 10:00pm |
Conference dinner |
Date: Wednesday, 11/Sept/2024 | |||
9:00am - 10:40am |
Contributed 11: Spatial heterogeneity in epidemiological studies Location: OG-Aud2 Chair: Thomas Neyens Quantifying the heterogeneous effect of mobile health code in containing COVID-19 in China during the pandemic Zhifeng Cheng1, Chu He2, Samantha Cockings1, Andrew Tatem1, Shengjie Lai1 1: WorldPop, School of Geography and Environmental Science, University of Southampton, Southampton, United Kingdom; 2: Department of Health Education, Jiangsu Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Nanjing, China 9:25am - 9:50am Bayesian Age Decomposition Modeling of Covid-19 Space-time Dynamics Andrew Booth Lawson1,2, Yao Xin1 1: Medical University of South Carolina, United States of America; 2: Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, UK 9:50am - 10:15am The effect of spatial scale in agent-based model epidemiology Robert Manning Smith1, Sophie Ayling1, Claire Dooley1, Hamish Gibbs2, Sarah Wise1 1: Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College London, United Kingdom, London, UK; 2: Department of Geography, University College London, London, UK 10:15am - 10:40am An extended two-stage modelling framework for multi-location epidemiological studies Antonio Gasparrini, Pierre Masselot London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom |
Contributed 12: Environmental impact on health Location: FR-1.01 Chair: Kirby Russell Exploring the effects of air pollution on chronic diseases using Intego-network data Elisa Duarte1, Gijs Van Pottelbergh2, Katrien Tersago3, Christel Faes1, Thomas Neyens1,4 1: I-BioStat, Data Science Institute, Hasselt University, Hasselt, Belgium; 2: Department of Public Health and Primary Care, University of Leuven, Leuven, Belgium; 3: Department Care, Flemish Ministry on Welfare, Public Health and Family Matters, Brussels, Belgium; 4: L-BioStat, Department of Public Health and Primary Care, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium 9:25am - 9:50am Urban dengue hot- and coldspots in Lucknow, India: Unravelling the underlying environmental patterns. Alan Esteban Juache Villagrana1, Cedric Marsboom1, Surender N. Sharma1, Ritu Srivastava2, Smita Dhawan2, Bejo J. Raju3, Richa Sharma3, Raf Theunissen4, Jente Broeckx4, Hafeez Rehman4, Poornima Prabhakaran3, Guy Hendrickx1 1: Avia-GIS, Zoersel, Belgium; 2: Public Health, Lucknow, India; 3: PHFI, Delhi, India; 4: VITO, Mol, Belgium 9:50am - 10:15am Heat-related mortality in Flanders (Belgium): combining dose-effect relationships with climate and land use modelling. Els Verachtert1, Dirk Lauwaet1, Leo De Nocker1, Elisa Duarte2, Christel Faes2, Koen Schoeters3 1: VITO, Environmental Intelligence Unit, Belgium; 2: Data Science Institute – University of Hasselt, Belgium; 3: Flemish Department of Care, Division Health Prevention Policy, Environmental healthcare 10:15am - 10:40am Spatial Insights into potential Health Benefits from Urban Traffic Reduction: Case-study on Car-Free Initiatives in European Capitals and pediatric asthma Bram Vandeninden1,2,3, Catherine Bouland1, Christel Faes3, Eva M De Clercq2 1: ULB, Belgium; 2: Sciensano; 3: Hasselt University |
Invited 6: Beyond the Basics: advanced use of INLA for spatial analysis Location: OG-Aud1 Chair: Christel Faes Organized by: Christel Faes
Combining Laplace and VB for fast approximate Bayesian inference Janet Van Niekerk, Haavard Rue KAUST, Saudi Arabia 9:25am - 9:50am Bayesian modelling for the integration of spatially misaligned health and environmental data Paula Moraga KAUST, Saudi Arabia 9:50am - 10:15am Multivariate Models to Explore Gender-Based Violence in Areal Data Lola Ugarte, Gonzalo Vicente, Tomas Goicoa Universidad Publica de Navarra, Spain 10:15am - 10:40am Addressing Positional Anonymisation in Geostatistial Analyses of DHS Data Geir-Arne Fuglstad, Umut Altay, John Paige, Andrea Riebler Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Norway |
10:40am - 11:10am |
Coffee break |
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11:10am - 12:50pm |
Contributed 13: Advancements in spatial statistics Location: OG-Aud2 Chair: Jon Wakefield Geostatistical and machine learning techniques for mapping vaccination coverage: A statistical comparison Chigozie Edson Utazi, Ortis Yankey University of Southampton, United Kingdom 11:35am - 12:00pm Specification of space-time interactions for prediction in Bayesian disease mapping Andrea Riebler, Jostein Aastebøl Aanes NTNU, Norway 12:00pm - 12:25pm Integrating vulnerability and hazard in malaria risk mapping: the elimination context of Senegal Camille Morlighem1,2,3, Chibuzor Christopher Nnanatu4,5, Catherine Linard2,3,6 1: Fonds National de la Recherche Scientifique (F.R.S-FNRS), B-1000 Brussels, Belgium; 2: Department of Geography, University of Namur, 5000 Namur, Belgium; 3: ILEE, University of Namur, 5000 Namur, Belgium; 4: WorldPop, School of Geography and Environmental Science, University of Southampton, Southampton, SO17 1BJ, UK; 5: Department of Statistics, Nnamdi Azikiwe University, PMB 5025, Awka, Nigeria; 6: NARILIS, University of Namur, 5000 Namur, Belgium 12:25pm - 12:50pm Investigating cross nearest neighbor methods in multitype overlapping point patterns as heterogeneity measures for hepatitis B infected liver sample cell phenotypes Jari Claes1, Marjolein Crabbe2, Kim Thys2, Helena Geys2, Simon Verheijden2, Hans Wils2, Annelies Agten1, Christel Faes1 1: Data Science Institute, Hasselt University, Diepenbeek, Belgium; 2: Janssen Research and Development, Janssen Pharmaceutica NV, Beerse, Belgium |
Invited 7: Challenges and open problems in health surveillance and environmental epidemiology Location: OG-Aud1 Chair: Veronica Berrocal Organized by: Veronica Berrocal and Elena Naumova
Climate vulnerability and nutritional status variability in school-aged children and adolescents across the communities in the Mount Meru Ecosystem (Tanzania) Monica Pirani Imperial College London, United Kingdom 11:35am - 12:00pm Linking spatial data sets with LLMs to enable global nutrition modeling. Kyle Monahan Tufts University 12:00pm - 12:25pm Modeling seasonality of malnutrition and effects of extreme weather on global food security. Aishwarya Venkat Tufts University 12:25pm - 12:50pm Challenges and opportunities in global spatiotemporal modeling of seasonal and pandemic influenza. Elena Naumova Tufts University |
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12:50pm - 2:20pm |
Lunch and posters |
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2:20pm - 3:20pm |
Plenary 3: A Journey Through Spatial Epidemic Modelling Location: OG-Aud1 Chair: Christel Faes Speaker: Rob Deardon |
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3:20pm - 3:40pm |
SSTE: Elsevier – Spatial and Spatio-Temporal Epidemiology Journal Location: OG-Aud1 |
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3:40pm - 4:00pm |
Coffee break |
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4:00pm - 5:40pm |
Contributed 14: Neglected Tropical Diseases Location: OG-Aud2 Chair: Duncan Lee Geostatistical methods for efficient safety assessment of Ivermectin in Loa loa endemic areas. Olatunji Johnson University of Manchester, United Kingdom 4:25pm - 4:50pm Forecasting dengue incidence over space and time, in Thailand, 2013-2022 Yalda Jafari1,2, Adam Howes3, Cathal Mills1, Rory J. Gibb4, Kulchada Pongsoipetch2, Suwanna Mukem2, Sumali Bajaj1, Joseph L.H. Tsui1, Simon Busch Moreno1, Moritz U.G. Kraemer1, Adun Chayyaphong5, Chawarat Rotejanaprasert2, Oliver J. Brady6, Richard J. Maude1,2 1: University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom; 2: Mahidol Oxford Tropical Medicine Research Unit, Bangkok, Thailand; 3: Imperial College, London, United Kingdom; 4: University College London, United Kingdom; 5: Bureau of Vector-Borne Diseases, Department of Disease Control, Bangkok, Thailand; 6: London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom 4:50pm - 5:15pm Short-term effect of temperature and rainfall on the incidence of West Nile Neuroinvasive Disease in Europe: a multi-country case-crossover analysis. Giovenale Moirano1, Jan Semenza2, Rachel Lowe1 1: Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Spain; 2: Heidelberg Institute of Global Health, University of Heidelberg, Heidelberg, Germany 5:15pm - 5:40pm Citizen science revolutionizing snail-borne diseases risk understanding in rural Uganda Noelia del Carmen Valderrama Bhraunxs KU Leuven / Royal Museum for Central Africa, Belgium |
Invited 8: Advances in spatial epidemiology and ecology Location: OG-Aud1 Chair: Thomas Neyens Organized by: Thomas Neyens
Towards Integrated Spatial Health Surveillance Peter J Diggle1, Marta A G Blangiardo2, Guangquan Li3 1: Lancaster University, United Kingdom; 2: Imperial College, London, UK; 3: Northumbria University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK 4:25pm - 4:50pm Joint geostatistical modelling of lymphatic filariasis antigenaemia and microfilariae prevalence Claudio Fronterre CHICAS, Lancaster University, United Kingdom 4:50pm - 5:15pm A spatio-temporal latent factor model for sparse multivariate time series in ecology Maxime Fajgenblat1,2, Thomas Neyens1,3 1: Data Science Institute, I-BioStat, Hasselt University, Diepenbeek, Belgium; 2: Laboratory of Freshwater Ecology, Evolution and Conservation, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium; 3: Leuven Biostatistics and Statistical Bioinformatics Centre (L-BioStat), Department of Public Health and Primary Care, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium 5:15pm - 5:40pm The effect of spatio-temporal sample imbalance in epidemiologic surveillance using opportunistic samples: A case and simulation study using self-reported COVID-19 Symptoms Data Alejandro Rozo1,2, Christel Faes2, Thomas Neyens1,2 1: L-Biostat, KU Leuven, Belgium; 2: DSI, Hasselt University, Belgium |
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5:45pm - 5:55pm |
Awards and closing Location: OG-Aud1 |